Nama : Wirya Adepramayuda
Kelas :
4EA05
NPM :
18210547
TUGAS
1
PREDICTION OF RUPEES 2014: BEST IN ASIA
Rupiah currency is predicted to be the best in Asia this year when
current account deficit shrinking , despite Indonesia's economy is
considered not entirely safe from the onslaught of the global financial
conditions .Lloyds
Banking Group Plc . , As released by Bloomberg on Thursday ( 16/1 ) ,
said that the rupiah would score rally 6.8 % this year and rose to
Rp11.400 per U.S. dollar . According to Bloomberg Rankings, Lloyds Banking Group Plc . recorded as an institution with the most accurate predictions in the last 4 quarters .
While
it's Societe Generale SA was ranked 5th at the end of 2014 estimates of
the rupiah will skyrocket to Rp10.250 per U.S. dollar . The predictions are much better than the Bloomberg survey of analysts . The survey predicted the currency will be at the Garuda Rp12.200 level .
Global Research Director of Lloyds Jeavon Lolay told Bloomberg that the rupiah has been undervalued . " We saw the rupiah has given a positive outlook for global growth improves. This should also hoist exports in the second half of this year . "
A
similar sentiment was expressed by researchers of Institute for eco
nomy and Society , University of Indonesia I Kadek Dian Sutrisna . He said there are two forces that will affect the movement of the rupiah ." [ First ] the global economy will impact on exports and trade balance improved . The existence of such strength that will withstand the strength of
both the reduced liquidity due to the withdrawal of stimulus by the Fed [
Federal Reserve ] . "
This condition , said Kadek , allowing Indonesia to improve the current account goes . During November the domestic economy posted a trade surplus of U.S. $ 777 million down 11 % after importation . If the surplus is maintained it can reduce the pressure on the current account .Previously deficit jumped to 4.4 % of gross domestic product ( GDP ) . The figure was narrowed to 3.8 % in the last 3 months . Bank Indonesia predicts the current account deficit for 2013 at 3.5 % of GDP range and below 3 % in 2014 .
On
the other hand a Bloomberg survey also predicts Indonesian inflation
rate slowed to 6.5 % in 2014 . Equity market also began to squirm marked
by the entry of foreign funds . Since 2014 the purchase of shares by foreign investors reached U.S. $ 239 million greater than the sales .
With the improvement of dollars began to rise from adversity . Proven since the opening of this year the rupiah rose about 0.4 % . The increase was highest after the Japanese yen in the Asian region .
NOT SAFEIn the midst of this optimism , BI assess Indonesia's economy has not
completely safe because they are affected by global financial conditions
, especially the United States capital markets .
Governor
of Bank Indonesia Agus Martowardojo said the trend of increasing yields
on U.S. government bonds is expected to last until the end of the year .
The increase in yield on U.S. Treasury 10 -year risk of spurring capital outflows from developing countries .
This can have a negative impact on the capital and financial account transactions developing countries , including Indonesia . " It needs to watch out because Indonesia , on one side of the
transaction current account has improved , but the capital can be
affected , " said Agus , Thursday ( 16/1 ) .
Meanwhile, the company's international rating agency Moody 's
Investors Service ranked the state estimate in South Asia and ASEAN in
general will be stable , which indicates that global growth prospects
will increase and the risk will be reduced .
TUGAS 2
· Verb phrase berdasarkan traditional
grammar adalah kelompok kata berupa main verb dan auxiliary verb-nya,
sedangkan berdasarkan generative grammar adalah predicate
— main verb beserta seluruh elemen yang melengkapinya: auxiliary verb,
complement,
dan/atau modifier,
kecuali subjek kalimat.
Example :
Ø He
sleeps without a pillow.
Ø I
will ask you a question.
Ø I
enjoy swimming.
Ø You
should see a doctor during pregnancy.
Ø It has
just been raining in Bandung.
·
Present
tense
Digunakan untk menyatakan suatu perbuatan atau peristiwa yang dilakukan secara berulang ulang ataupun perbuatan yang sudah menjadi kebiasaan.
Example
:
MRS. Anna sometimes
teaches English in the afternoon
·
Past
tense
Digunakan untuk menunjukan suatu peristiwa atau perbuatan yang terjadi atau dilakukan
di masa lampau yang disebutkan waktu kejadiannya secara jelas.
Example
:
They were not here
yesterday
·
Future
tense
Digunakan untuk menyatakan suatu peristiwa atau perbuatan
yang akan terjadi atau akan dilakukan di waktu tertentu di masa yang akan datang.
Untuk tujuan ini sering kali digunakan keterangan waktu seperti tomorrow, tonight, soon,
later, next……immediately, someday, in the future dansebagainya.
Example
:
Our uncle will visit us
next Sunday
TUGAS
3
·
Singular
Nouns
Kata
benda tunggal yang digunakan bersama artikel a atau an.
Example:
He is a student in the Phoenix University
·
Plural
Nouns
Kata
benda yang menunjukan bahwa kata benda tersebut lebih dari satu
Example:
- My rooms are rented for three months.
- The Dean meets her students in front of the office.
